probability definitions

David Wolpert (dhw@ptolemy.arc.nasa.gov)
Wed, 8 Jul 1998 14:11:49 -0700 (PDT)

I applaud the recent message of Henry Kyburg on the topic of random
variables, what probability "is", etc.

Readers of this list might be interested in a viewpoint similar, in
its foundations, to Kyburg's. This broader viewpoint starts by drawing
attention to the common - and extremely obfuscatory - Bayesian mistake
of not having the event space distinguish between the value of an
external object and one's guess for that value.

I outlined this viewpoint in my article "Reconciling Bayesian and
Non-Bayesian Analysis", in Maximum Entropy and Bayesian Methods,
G. Heidbreder (Ed.), 1996, p. 79

David Wolpert